This scientific paper examines the anthropogenic (human-induced) influence on the extreme rainfall event that occurred in June 2022 over the Pearl River Basin in southern China. Using climate attribution methods, the researchers compared atmospheric conditions with and without human influence through advanced climate models. The results reveal that anthropogenic factors decreased the likelihood of average June rainfall, yet increased the probability of short-term extreme rainfall events (over a five-day period). This finding highlights how human-induced climate change alters not just the total amount of rainfall but also its distribution and intensity, leading to a greater risk of flooding in the region.
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Anthropogenic Influence on 2022 June Extreme Rainfall over the Pearl River Basin
Xinru Liu, Hang Jie, Yulin Zou, Shengjun Liu, Yamin Hu, Shuyi Liu, Dangfu Yang, Liang Zhao, dan Jian He
Penerbit :
American Meteorological Society
Tahun :
2024
Jurnal
Klimatologi Iklim
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